Where the market is wrong on Libya U20 v Egypt U20
Libya U20 meet Egypt U20 in the Africa Cup of Nations U20 qualification - 1 at Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia.
Egypt U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Egypt U20, 55% against 25%. Attacking output favors Libya U20 on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Libya U20 arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Algeria U20, L 0-2 v Egypt U20, L 1-3 v Algeria U20, W 2-0 @ Lebanon U20.
Egypt U20 are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Libya U20, W 3-0 v Jordan U20, W 2-0 v Jordan U20, D 0-0 v Algeria U20.
Egypt U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Libya U20 0-2 Egypt U20.
The market prices LIB at 3% implied. Our number sits apart on Libya U20: a 24.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
