Zambia U20 v Botswana U20

Zambia U20 meet Botswana U20 in the COSAFA U20 Championship group stage - c.

Zambia U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1553 to 1420. Recent form leans Zambia U20, 58% against 39%. Attacking output favors Zambia U20 on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.7 per match.

Zambia U20 arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Namibia U20, L 2-4 @ South Africa U20, W 3-1 v Botswana U20, W 3-0 v Comoros U20.

Botswana U20 are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Zambia U20, L 0-3 v Malawi U20, D 0-0 @ Comoros U20, L 0-1 @ Zambia U20.

Zambia U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zambia U20 3-1 Botswana U20.

The market prices ZAM at 81% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 18.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.