Where the market is wrong on Bonaire v Grenada
Bonaire meet Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League league b - 3 at Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Grenada, 47% against 25%. Attacking output favors Grenada on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Bonaire arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Grenada, L 0-2 @ Cuba, L 1-2 v St. Kitts and Nevis, L 0-2 @ British Virgin Islands.
Grenada are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Bonaire, L 0-3 @ St. Kitts and Nevis, L 0-3 v Cuba, L 0-5 @ Rep. Of Ireland.
Grenada hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bonaire 2-3 Grenada.
The market prices BON at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on Bonaire: a 9.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
