Where the market is wrong on Gorleston v Bury Town
Gorleston meet Bury Town in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
Bury Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1489. Recent form leans Bury Town, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bury Town on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Gorleston arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 13 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Bury Town, L 2-5 @ Newmarket, W 4-1 @ Leighton Town, W 3-0 @ Stotfold.
Bury Town are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Hitchin Town, W 4-3 @ Gorleston, L 0-1 @ Bromsgrove Sporting, W 4-2 @ London Lions.
Bury Town hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gorleston 3-4 Bury Town.
The market prices GOR at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Gorleston: a 9.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
