Where the market is wrong on England U19 v USA U19
England U19 meet USA U19 in the Friendlies friendly international at Marbella Football Center, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1701, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 78%. Attacking output favors England U19 on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.4 per match.
England U19 arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v USA U19, W 2-1 v Norway U19, W 1-0 v Republic of Ireland U19, W 6-0 @ Portugal U19.
USA U19 are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ England U19, W 2-0 v Wales U19, W 5-2 v Japan U19, W 4-0 @ Wales U19.
England U19 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: England U19 2-1 USA U19.
The market prices ENG at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on USA U19: a 16.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
