Where the market is wrong on Karaman FK v Kepezspor
Karaman FK meet Kepezspor in the Türkiye Kupası round of 32 at Kemal Kaynas Stadyum, Karaman.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kepezspor, 28% against 16%. Attacking output favors Kepezspor on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Karaman FK arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Kepezspor, L 0-3 v Bitlis Özgüzelderespor, W 3-2 v Beykoz Anadolu, L 4-5 @ Ankaraspor.
Kepezspor are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Karaman FK, L 1-4 @ Ayvalikgucu, L 0-2 v Anadolu Üniversitesi, L 0-6 @ Batman Petrolspor.
Kepezspor hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Karaman FK 2-3 Kepezspor.
The market prices KAR at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Kepezspor: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
