Where the market is wrong on Dhofar v Oman Club
Dhofar meet Oman Club in the FA Cup group stage - 5.
Oman Club rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1431. Recent form leans Oman Club, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Oman Club on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Dhofar arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Oman Club, D 5-5 @ Smail, W 2-0 v Fanja, D 0-0 @ Sohar.
Oman Club are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Dhofar, L 1-2 v Sur, L 0-2 v Al-Shabab, W 1-0 @ Al Musannah.
The market prices DHO at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output