Where the market is wrong on Sporting Lieşti v Dinamo Bucuresti
Sporting Lieşti meet Dinamo Bucuresti in the Cupa României group stage at Stadionul Otelul, Galati.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sporting Lieşti, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Sporting Lieşti on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Sporting Lieşti arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Dinamo Bucuresti, W 2-1 v Unirea Braniştea, W 2-1 @ USV Iaşi, W 4-2 @ CSM Adjud.
Dinamo Bucuresti are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Sporting Lieşti, D 1-1 @ Corvinul Hunedoara, W 2-1 v Universitatea Cluj, W 1-0 @ Rapid.
The market prices SPO at 6% implied. Our number sits apart on Sporting Lieşti: a 28.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
