Al-Ahli Jeddah v Pakhtakor: the model read
Al-Ahli Jeddah meet Pakhtakor in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 68%. Attacking output favors Al-Ahli Jeddah on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Al-Ahli Jeddah arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC, L 1-3 @ Al Kholood, W 1-0 v Auckland, W 4-0 v Abha.
Pakhtakor are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Neftchi, D 1-1 @ Dinamo Samarqand, D 0-0 v Surkhon, W 2-1 @ Nasaf.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Pakhtakor.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
