Afragolese v Venafro: the model read
Afragolese meet Venafro in the Serie D - Girone G group g - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Afragolese, 55% against 13%. Attacking output favors Afragolese on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.3 per match.
Afragolese arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Venafro, D 0-0 @ Paganese, D 1-1 v Sarnese, D 0-0 @ Gelbison.
Venafro are out of sorts: 0W-1D-3L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Afragolese, L 0-1 v Sarnese, D 1-1 @ Unipomezia, L 0-1 v Trastevere.
Afragolese hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Afragolese 4-0 Venafro.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
