Saluzzo v Derthona

Saluzzo meet Derthona in the Serie D - Girone A group a - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Saluzzo on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Saluzzo arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Derthona, D 2-2 @ Sanremese, W 3-1 v Celle Varazze, W 2-0 @ Borgosesia.

Derthona are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Saluzzo, W 1-0 v Millesimo, W 3-2 @ Ligorna, D 1-1 v Imperia.

Saluzzo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Saluzzo 0-0 Derthona.

The market prices SAL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.