Larne v Lincoln Red Imps FC

Larne meet Lincoln Red Imps FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round at Inver Park, Larne.

Lincoln Red Imps FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1547. Recent form leans Lincoln Red Imps FC, 75% against 56%. Attacking output favors Lincoln Red Imps FC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Lincoln Red Imps FC at 64%; double chance reads Larne or draw 55%, Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw 75%.

Larne arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Lincoln Red Imps FC, W 2-0 @ Lincoln Red Imps FC, D 0-0 @ Coleraine FC, L 1-2 @ FC Iberia 1999.

Lincoln Red Imps FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Larne, W 3-1 v St Joseph S Fc, L 0-2 v Larne, L 0-1 @ Omonia Nicosia.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Larne 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

The market prices LAR at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Lincoln Red Imps FC: a 18.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.