Bradford v Burnley

Bradford meet Burnley in the League Cup round of 64 at Valley Parade, Bradford.

Bradford rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Bradford, 63% against 20%. Attacking output favors Bradford on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Bradford at 73%; double chance reads Bradford or draw 81%, Burnley or draw 47%.

Bradford arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Burnley, W 1-0 @ Sheffield Wednesday, W 2-0 v Peterborough, W 2-0 v Rochdale.

Burnley are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Bradford, L 1-3 @ West Brom, D 2-2 v West Ham, D 1-1 v Notts County.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Bradford 0-0 Burnley.

The market prices BRA at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Bradford: a 24.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.