Where the market is wrong on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm v Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm meet Hapoel Ironi Karmiel in the Liga Alef north - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1458 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 46% against 50%. Attacking output favors Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, D 3-3 v Ironi Baka El Garbiya, W 2-1 @ Tzeirey Tamra, D 2-2 v Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, D 1-1 v Ironi Nesher, D 1-1 @ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan, W 3-0 v Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.
The market prices HAP at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
