Where the market is wrong on Folgore v San Marino Academy
Folgore meet San Marino Academy in the Campionato regular season - 4.
Folgore rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1400. Recent form leans Folgore, 80% against 30%. Attacking output favors Folgore on expected goals, 2.4 to 0.8 per match.
Folgore arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Juvenes / Dogana, W 2-0 @ Libertas, W 1-0 v Cailungo, W 5-0 v Murata.
San Marino Academy are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Faetano, D 1-1 @ La Fiorita, L 0-2 v Fiorentino, D 1-1 v Cailungo.
Folgore hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Folgore 3-0 San Marino Academy.
The market prices FOL at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on San Marino Academy: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
