Excelsior Maassluis v Groene Ster: the model read
Excelsior Maassluis meet Groene Ster in the Derde Divisie regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Excelsior Maassluis, 43% against 24%. Attacking output favors Excelsior Maassluis on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Excelsior Maassluis at 62%; double chance reads Excelsior Maassluis or draw 73%, Groene Ster or draw 56%.
Excelsior Maassluis arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Groene Ster, D 1-1 @ UDI '19, W 4-2 v Sparta Rotterdam II, W 3-0 v TOGB.
Groene Ster are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Excelsior Maassluis, L 1-3 v Roosendaal, L 0-1 v AS Eupen, W 3-1 v ASWH.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
