Where the market is wrong on Selaya v Atlético Albericia
Selaya meet Atlético Albericia in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 group 3 - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 43%. Attacking output favors Atlético Albericia on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Selaya arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Escobedo, W 1-0 v Atlético Albericia, L 0-3 @ Tropezón, D 0-0 v Castro.
Atlético Albericia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Selaya, L 0-2 v Laredo, L 1-2 @ Bezana, L 2-4 v Selaya.
Atlético Albericia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Selaya 1-0 Atlético Albericia.
The market prices SEL at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Selaya: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
