Where the market is wrong on Liverpool W v Sunderland W
Liverpool W meet Sunderland W in the WSL Cup group stage at St Helens Stadium, St Helens.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Liverpool W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Liverpool W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Everton W, W 4-2 v Sunderland W, L 2-4 @ Manchester City W, D 1-1 v Tottenham Hotspur W.
Sunderland W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Watford W, L 2-4 @ Liverpool W, D 0-0 v Southampton W, W 2-1 @ Burnley W.
Liverpool W hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Liverpool W 4-2 Sunderland W.
The market prices LIV at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Sunderland W: a 20.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
