Where the market is wrong on San Lorenzo Res. v Unión Santa Fe Res.
San Lorenzo Res. meet Unión Santa Fe Res. in the Reserve League clausura - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Unión Santa Fe Res., 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors San Lorenzo Res. on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
San Lorenzo Res. arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Unión Santa Fe Res., L 1-2 @ Atlético Tucumán Res., W 3-0 v Godoy Cruz Res., L 0-1 @ Gimnasia Mendoza 2.
Unión Santa Fe Res. are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ San Lorenzo Res., D 0-0 v Vélez Sársfield Res., D 2-2 @ River Plate Res., D 2-2 v Racing Club Res..
The market prices SAN at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Unión Santa Fe Res.: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output