Where the market is wrong on Charlton Athletic W v Manchester City W
Charlton Athletic W meet Manchester City W in the FA WSL regular season - 4 at The Oakwood, Crayford.
Manchester City W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1443. Recent form leans Manchester City W, 80% against 40%. Attacking output favors Manchester City W on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.4 per match.
Charlton Athletic W arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Manchester City W, L 0-4 @ Brighton W, L 1-4 v London City Lionesses W, L 0-1 @ Everton W.
Manchester City W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Charlton Athletic W, D 2-2 @ Bayern Munich W, W 4-2 v Liverpool W, W 4-1 @ Aston Villa W.
Manchester City W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Charlton Athletic W 0-1 Manchester City W.
The market prices CHA at 4% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 17.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
