Sertanense v Mortágua: the model read
Sertanense meet Mortágua in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 2.
Mortágua rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Mortágua, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Mortágua on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Mortágua at 56%; double chance reads Sertanense or draw 63%, Mortágua or draw 72%.
Sertanense arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Mortágua, D 1-1 @ AD Nogueirense, L 0-1 @ Benfica Castelo Branco, W 3-1 v Alcains.
Mortágua are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Sertanense, W 3-1 v Nazarenos, W 2-1 v Eléctrico, L 0-1 @ Vitória de Sernache.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
