Pachuca W v Guadalajara W

Pachuca W meet Guadalajara W in the Liga MX Femenil regular season - 4 at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 70%. Attacking output favors Pachuca W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Guadalajara W at 51%; double chance reads Pachuca W or draw 64%, Guadalajara W or draw 66%.

Pachuca W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Guadalajara W, W 3-1 v Pumas UNAM W, D 1-1 @ Atlas W, L 0-1 @ Juárez W.

Guadalajara W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Pachuca W, W 3-1 v Atlético San Luis W, W 4-1 @ Puebla W, W 3-1 v Querétaro W.

The market prices PAC at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Guadalajara W: a 14.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.