Where the market is wrong on Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC meet Al-Nassr in the Pro League regular season - 5 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 73%. Attacking output favors Al-Nassr on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.8 per match.
Al-Ittihad FC arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Al-Fateh, W 3-2 v Al-Hazm, W 1-0 @ Al-Qadisiyah FC, W 3-0 @ Al Najma.
Al-Nassr are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Al Taawon, W 3-2 @ Al-Ettifaq, W 4-0 @ Al Riyadh, W 4-1 @ Al Diriyah.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al-Ittihad FC.
The market prices AL- at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Al-Ittihad FC: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
