Palermo v Padova: the model read
Palermo meet Padova in the Serie B regular season - 5 at Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Palermo, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Palermo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Palermo at 61%; double chance reads Palermo or draw 73%, Padova or draw 57%.
Palermo arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Arezzo, W 1-0 v Juve Stabia, W 2-0 v Lecce, L 0-2 @ Juventus.
Padova are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Hellas Verona, W 1-0 @ Pisa, L 0-1 @ Udinese, D 3-3 @ Monza.
Palermo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Padova 0-1 Palermo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
