Cesena v Sampdoria

Cesena meet Sampdoria in the Serie B regular season - 1 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Cesena on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Cesena at 52%; double chance reads Cesena or draw 68%, Sampdoria or draw 66%.

Cesena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Virtus Entella, D 1-1 v Sampdoria, L 0-3 @ Sassuolo, D 0-0 @ Forli.

Sampdoria are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cesena, L 0-2 @ Cremonese, W 2-0 @ Parma, L 1-2 v Novara.

Cesena hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cesena 1-1 Sampdoria.

The market prices CES at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.