Where the market is wrong on Beijing Guoan v Rizhao Yuqi
Beijing Guoan meet Rizhao Yuqi in the FA Cup quarter-finals at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium, Beijing.
Beijing Guoan rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1489. Recent form leans Beijing Guoan, 78% against 53%. Attacking output favors Beijing Guoan on expected goals, 2.4 to 0.8 per match.
Beijing Guoan arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Rizhao Yuqi, D 1-1 @ Dalian Zhixing, D 3-3 v Yunnan Yukun, W 3-0 @ Shanghai Shenhua.
Rizhao Yuqi are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Beijing Guoan, D 0-0 @ Xi'an Ronghai, W 1-0 v Shanghai Port II, D 2-2 @ Dalian Kewei.
Beijing Guoan hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Beijing Guoan 3-1 Rizhao Yuqi.
The market prices BEI at 80% implied. Our number sits apart on Rizhao Yuqi: a 19.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
