Where the market is wrong on Dodoma Jiji v Namungo
Dodoma Jiji meet Namungo in the Ligi kuu Bara regular season - 6 at Jamhuri Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 38%. Attacking output favors Namungo on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Dodoma Jiji arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Namungo, W 1-0 v Mashujaa, W 1-0 @ Tabora United, L 0-1 v Polisi Tanzania.
Namungo are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Dodoma Jiji, L 0-2 @ Azam, L 2-3 @ Singida Black Stars, L 1-2 @ JKT Tanzania.
The market prices DOD at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Namungo: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output