Where the market is wrong on Al Wahda FC v Baniyas SC
Al Wahda FC meet Baniyas SC in the Pro League regular season - 3 at Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 34% against 38%. Attacking output favors Baniyas SC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Al Wahda FC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Baniyas SC, L 0-1 @ Al Nasr, L 2-3 v Ajman, D 2-2 @ Buchbach.
Baniyas SC are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Wahda FC, L 2-3 v Dubai United, L 2-4 v Al Ain, L 1-4 @ Al-Jazira.
The market prices AL at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Baniyas SC: a 17.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output