Where the market is wrong on Vukovar v Segesta Sisak
Vukovar meet Segesta Sisak in the First NL regular season - 2 at Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek.
Segesta Sisak rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1420. Recent form leans Segesta Sisak, 78% against 38%. Attacking output favors Segesta Sisak on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans Segesta Sisak at 78%; double chance reads Vukovar or draw 39%, Segesta Sisak or draw 83%.
Vukovar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Segesta Sisak, W 4-1 v Radnički Dalj, D 1-1 @ Mladost Ždralovi, L 3-6 @ HNK Hajduk Split.
Segesta Sisak are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 24 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Vukovar, W 18-0 @ Radenska Slatina, W 3-1 v Orijent 1919, W 2-0 v Dubrava Zagreb.
Vukovar hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vukovar 2-0 Segesta Sisak.
The market prices VUK at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Segesta Sisak: a 40.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 88 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
