Where the market is wrong on Sporting Cristal v Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal meet Sport Huancayo in the Copa De La Liga quarter-finals at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sport Huancayo on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Sporting Cristal arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sport Boys, W 4-1 v Sport Huancayo, L 1-3 @ Alianza Atletico, W 4-1 v Sport Huancayo.
Sport Huancayo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ ADT, L 1-4 @ Sporting Cristal, L 0-2 v UCV Moquegua, L 1-4 @ Sporting Cristal.
Sporting Cristal hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 1 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sporting Cristal 4-1 Sport Huancayo.
The market prices SPO at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Sport Huancayo: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
