Vanspor FK v İstanbulspor

Vanspor FK meet İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig regular season - 3 at Spor Toto Akhisar Stadium, Akhisar.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors İstanbulspor on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans İstanbulspor at 52%; double chance reads Vanspor FK or draw 63%, İstanbulspor or draw 66%.

Vanspor FK arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mardin 1969, W 3-2 v İstanbulspor, L 1-4 @ Manisa F.K., L 0-2 v Kayserispor.

İstanbulspor are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Fatih Karagümrük, L 2-3 @ Vanspor FK, D 2-2 v Bodrum FK, L 0-3 @ Bandırmaspor.

İstanbulspor hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vanspor FK 3-2 İstanbulspor.

The market prices VAN at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Vanspor FK: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.