Where the market is wrong on Solihull Moors v Boreham Wood
Solihull Moors meet Boreham Wood in the National League regular season - 10 at Damson Park, Solihull.
Boreham Wood rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1783 to 1400. Recent form leans Boreham Wood, 89% against 28%. Attacking output favors Boreham Wood on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.3 per match.
Solihull Moors arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Boreham Wood, L 1-4 @ Yeovil Town, W 1-0 v Barrow, L 1-2 v Aldershot Town.
Boreham Wood are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Solihull Moors, D 1-1 v Everton U21, W 4-1 v Harrogate Town, W 2-1 @ Scunthorpe.
The market prices SOL at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Boreham Wood: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
