Scunthorpe v Hartlepool: the model read
Scunthorpe meet Hartlepool in the National League regular season - 10 at Attis Arena, Scunthorpe.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Scunthorpe on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Scunthorpe arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Hartlepool, L 0-1 @ AFC Hornchurch, L 1-2 v Boreham Wood, W 2-0 @ Sutton Utd.
Hartlepool are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Scunthorpe, L 1-3 v Worthing, L 1-2 @ Altrincham, L 0-2 @ Kidderminster Harriers.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Scunthorpe 4-1 Hartlepool.
The market prices SCU at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Scunthorpe: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
