Yeovil Town v Tamworth

Yeovil Town meet Tamworth in the National League regular season - 5 at Huish Park, Yeovil.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tamworth, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Tamworth on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Tamworth at 54%; double chance reads Yeovil Town or draw 61%, Tamworth or draw 67%.

Yeovil Town arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Barrow, W 3-0 v Gateshead, D 1-1 v Carlisle, D 1-1 @ Scunthorpe.

Tamworth are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Worthing, L 1-4 @ FC Halifax Town, W 5-3 v Newcastle United U21, L 1-2 v AFC Fylde.

Yeovil Town hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Yeovil Town 2-0 Tamworth.

The market prices YEO at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Tamworth: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.