Boston United v Altrincham

Boston United meet Altrincham in the National League regular season - 3 at Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 47%. Attacking output favors Boston United on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Boston United at 52%; double chance reads Boston United or draw 67%, Altrincham or draw 65%.

Boston United arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Altrincham, L 2-3 v Birmingham City U21, W 2-0 @ Solihull Moors, L 0-1 v Aldershot Town.

Altrincham are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Boston United, L 0-1 @ Sutton Utd, L 1-3 v Southend, W 1-0 v Manchester United U21.

The market prices BOS at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Altrincham: a 11.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.