Lazio v Avellino: the model read
Lazio meet Avellino in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lazio, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Lazio on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Lazio at 60%; double chance reads Lazio or draw 71%, Avellino or draw 58%.
Lazio arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Genoa, W 1-0 @ Bologna, L 0-2 v Mantova, W 2-1 @ Frosinone.
Avellino are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Vicenza Virtus, L 1-2 v Arezzo, L 0-3 @ Monza, D 1-1 v Torino.
Lazio hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lazio 6-3 Avellino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
