Where the market is wrong on FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen
FC Ingolstadt 04 meet Alemannia Aachen in the 3. Liga regular season - 4 at Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt.
Alemannia Aachen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1489. Recent form leans Alemannia Aachen, 80% against 45%. Attacking output favors Alemannia Aachen on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.6 per match.
FC Ingolstadt 04 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Alemannia Aachen, W 2-0 @ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, D 1-1 @ Preußen Münster, D 2-2 v Würzburger Kickers.
Alemannia Aachen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ FC Ingolstadt 04, L 0-3 v SV Meppen, D 1-1 @ Fortuna Köln, W 4-1 v Verl.
The market prices FC at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Alemannia Aachen: a 22.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 87 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
