Where the market is wrong on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v FC Ingolstadt 04
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach meet FC Ingolstadt 04 in the 3. Liga regular season - 3 at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v FC Ingolstadt 04, D 2-2 v Arminia Bielefeld, L 0-2 @ SV Meppen, W 1-0 v Fortuna Köln.
FC Ingolstadt 04 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, D 1-1 @ Preußen Münster, D 2-2 v Würzburger Kickers, L 1-4 @ 1. FC Heidenheim.
FC Ingolstadt 04 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0-2 FC Ingolstadt 04.
The market prices SG at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: a 9.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
