Newtown AFC v Porthmadog

Newtown AFC meet Porthmadog in the FAW Championship north - 9 at Latham Park, Newtown.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Porthmadog on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Newtown AFC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Porthmadog, W 1-0 @ Holyhead Hotspur, W 1-0 v Denbigh Town, W 1-0 @ Bala Town.

Porthmadog are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Newtown AFC, W 3-0 v Ruthin Town, L 1-2 v Bala Town, D 2-2 @ Holyhead Hotspur.

Porthmadog hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Newtown AFC 0-1 Porthmadog.

The market prices NEW at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Porthmadog: a 14.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.