Where the market is wrong on Energie Cottbus v SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Energie Cottbus meet SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 3 at LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors Energie Cottbus on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Energie Cottbus arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v SpVgg Greuther Fürth, L 0-2 v FC Augsburg, L 0-3 @ Arminia Bielefeld, W 3-1 v Hannover 96.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 @ Energie Cottbus, L 1-2 v VfL Bochum, L 2-4 v 1. FC Nürnberg, D 1-1 @ FC St. Pauli.
The market prices ENE at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
