Where the market is wrong on Caernarfon Town v Cambrian & Clydach
Caernarfon Town meet Cambrian & Clydach in the Premier League regular season - 10 at The Oval, Caernarfon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cambrian & Clydach, 73% against 63%. Attacking output favors Cambrian & Clydach on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.0 per match.
Caernarfon Town arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 16 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Llandudno, W 5-0 @ Ammanford AFC, W 3-0 v Flint Town United, L 2-3 v The New Saints.
Cambrian & Clydach are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Trefelin, W 2-1 v Holywell, D 2-2 @ Cardiff MET, D 2-2 v Penybont.
The market prices CAE at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Cambrian & Clydach: a 28.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output