Where the market is wrong on Bourg-en-bresse 01 v Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01 meet Caen in the Ligue 3 regular season - 5 at Stade Marcel-Verchere, Bourg-en-Bresse.
Caen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1577 to 1407. Recent form leans Caen, 61% against 34%. Attacking output favors Caen on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.7 per match.
Bourg-en-bresse 01 arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Caen, L 0-2 @ Aubagne, L 0-2 v Thionville Lusitanos, L 0-2 @ Valenciennes.
Caen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-1 v Bastia, W 1-0 v Aubagne, L 3-4 @ Thionville Lusitanos.
Caen hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-2 Caen.
The market prices BOU at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Caen: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
