Pirin Blagoevgrad v Hebar 1918: the model read
Pirin Blagoevgrad meet Hebar 1918 in the Second League regular season - 4 at Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hebar 1918, 39% against 28%. Attacking output favors Hebar 1918 on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Hebar 1918 at 60%; double chance reads Pirin Blagoevgrad or draw 58%, Hebar 1918 or draw 72%.
Pirin Blagoevgrad arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Nesebar, L 2-3 v Hebar 1918, L 0-1 @ Sportist Svoge, L 0-3 v CSKA Sofia II.
Hebar 1918 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, W 3-2 @ Pirin Blagoevgrad, L 3-4 @ CSKA Sofia II, L 2-3 v Vihren.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-3 Hebar 1918.
The market prices PIR at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
