Where the market is wrong on Celta Vigo v Osasuna
Celta Vigo meet Osasuna in the La Liga regular season - 1 at Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Celta Vigo on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Celta Vigo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Athletic Club, L 1-2 v Osasuna, D 0-0 @ Valencia, D 1-1 @ Napoli.
Osasuna are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Getafe, W 2-1 @ Celta Vigo, D 0-0 v Levante, L 0-2 v Al Ain.
Osasuna hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna.
The market prices CEL at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Osasuna: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
