Where the market is wrong on Las Palmas v Valladolid
Las Palmas meet Valladolid in the Segunda División regular season - 8 at Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Las Palmas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Las Palmas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Eibar, L 1-2 v Burgos, W 1-0 @ Cadiz, D 0-0 v Leganes.
Valladolid are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Cordoba, D 1-1 @ AD Ceuta FC, L 0-3 v Oviedo, W 1-0 v FC Andorra.
Las Palmas hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Las Palmas 2-1 Valladolid.
The market prices LAS at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Valladolid: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
