Where the market is wrong on Thespakusatsu Gunma v Albirex Niigata
Thespakusatsu Gunma meet Albirex Niigata in the J-League Cup round of 128 at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma, Maebashi.
Albirex Niigata rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1454. Recent form leans Albirex Niigata, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Thespakusatsu Gunma on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Thespakusatsu Gunma arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Fukushima United, L 1-2 v Albirex Niigata, W 2-1 @ Parceiro Nagano, L 1-4 @ Tokyo Verdy.
Albirex Niigata are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Thespakusatsu Gunma, W 3-2 @ Iwaki, L 0-4 v Kagoshima United, W 1-0 v Fujieda MYFC.
The market prices THE at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on Thespakusatsu Gunma: a 17.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
