Where the market is wrong on Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk meet Polessya in the Premier League regular season - 4 at Arena Lviv, Lviv.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shakhtar Donetsk, 70% against 61%. Attacking output favors Polessya on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.9 per match.
Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Polessya, W 1-0 @ FC Kharkiv, W 2-0 @ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, W 5-1 v Kudrivka.
Polessya are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Shakhtar Donetsk, L 1-2 v Zorya Luhansk, W 3-1 v FC Kharkiv, W 2-1 @ Chornomorets.
Polessya hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shakhtar Donetsk 0-2 Polessya.
The market prices SHA at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Polessya: a 16.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
