Notts County v Blackpool

Notts County meet Blackpool in the League One regular season - 8 at Meadow Lane, Nottingham.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 47%. Attacking output favors Blackpool on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.

Notts County arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Grimsby, L 0-2 @ Reading, L 0-1 v Bradford, D 1-1 @ Huddersfield.

Blackpool are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Wigan, L 2-4 v Plymouth, D 2-2 v Bromley, L 1-3 @ Reading.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2017: Notts County 1-0 Blackpool.

The market prices NOT at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.