Where the market is wrong on Shrewsbury v Colchester
Shrewsbury meet Colchester in the League Two regular season - 8 at New Meadow, Shrewsbury.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors Colchester on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Shrewsbury arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Colchester, L 0-1 @ Tranmere, D 1-1 @ Crewe, W 2-0 v Northampton.
Colchester are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Shrewsbury, L 1-3 @ Peterborough, D 1-1 v Cheltenham, D 1-1 v Crewe.
Colchester hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shrewsbury 2-2 Colchester.
The market prices SHR at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Colchester: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
