Where the market is wrong on Rotherham v Chesterfield
Rotherham meet Chesterfield in the League Two regular season - 3 at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chesterfield, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Chesterfield on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Rotherham arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Chesterfield, D 1-1 v York, L 1-2 @ Cheltenham, L 1-4 v West Brom.
Chesterfield are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Rotherham, W 1-0 @ Salford City, L 0-1 v Fleetwood Town, L 0-1 @ Fleetwood Town.
Rotherham hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rotherham 2-1 Chesterfield.
The market prices ROT at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
